The income gradient in mortality during the COVID-19 crisis: evidence from Belgium

Decoster, A., Minten, T. and Spinnewijn, J. (2020), The income gradient in mortality during the COVID-19 crisis: evidence from Belgium, COVID Economics, Issue 50, pp. 74-101.
ABSTRACT

We use population-wide data from linked administrative registers to study the distributional pattern of mortality before and during the Covid-19 pandemic in Belgium. Excess mortality is only found among those aged 65 and over. For this group, we find a significant negative income gradient in excess mortality, with excess deaths in the bottom income decile more than twice as high as in the top income decile for both men and women. However, given the high inequality in mortality in normal times, the income gradient in all-cause mortality is only marginally steeper during the peak of the health crisis when expressed in relative terms. Leveraging our individual-level data, we gauge the robustness of our results for other socioeconomic factors and find that conclusions about the income gradient in excess mortality based on aggregate data can be misguided.